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Cause and Effect (Tom O'Brien 2002)

What causes us to do certain things every day in a certain way? We are looking for a certain effect to take place.

We are going to be looking at the volume and seeking out what each cause and effect is having on the stock.

Cause - the buying and selling.

Effect - what is happening to the price at those points.

We need both the cause and the effect to be consistent. If we are going up on higher volume, then the price should be moving up by the same increments. When we have higher volume for a few days and each day the stock is moving a point, and then we have a higher volume day with a movement up of only 1/16, we can see the effect is not the same. That is a warning that we will start to run into resistance

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Name: 
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Tom O'Brien is the CEO and founder of Tiger Financial News Network. Host of his own radio show, editor of two newsletters and author of critically acclaimed book 'Timing the Trade'.
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The opposite would be that we are moving down on volume and we see that each day we are losing two to three points. Then the fourth day we move down on volume but the price barely moves. The cause is there but the effect is changing. The importance here is that many times you can have a cause, but no effect. We are looking for the important causes, which will produce the effect we are looking for. This is where accumulation or distribution is taking place. The stock is going from weak to strong hands or strong to weak ones. We have a change of ownership taking place.

 

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